The economics of political transitions : implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal and Agustin Roitman.

By:

Khandelwal, Padamja [author.]

Contributor(s):

Material type: Text

text

Media type:

computer

Carrier type:

online resource

ISBN:

9781475580181
1475580185
9781475569643
1475569645

Subject(s): Genre/Form:

DDC classification:

330.956 23

LOC classification:

HG3881.5.I58

Online resources:

Click here to access online

Contents:

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis.

10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix.

Summary: "Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract.

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Electronic-Books	OPJGU Sonepat- Campus	E-Books EBSCO			Available

Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Mar. 20, 2013).

"Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf.

"March 2013"--Page 2 of pdf.

"Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract.

Includes bibliographical references (page 11).

10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix.

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