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Leverage? What leverage? : a deep dive into the U.S. flow of funds in search of clues to the global crisis / prepared by Ashok Vir Bhatia and Tamim Bayoumi.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: IMF working paper ; WP/12/162.Publication details: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.Description: 1 online resource (30 pages) : color illustrationsContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • computer
Carrier type:
  • online resource
ISBN:
  • 9781475545128
  • 1475545126
  • 1475504713
  • 9781475504712
  • 1475597606
  • 9781475597608
Subject(s): Genre/Form: DDC classification:
  • 332.152 23
LOC classification:
  • HG3881.5.I58 W67 No. 12/162eb
Online resources:
Contents:
Cover; Contents; Glossary; Executive Summary; I. Introduction: Our Search for the Smoking Gun; Figures; 1. Leverage? What Leverage?; II. The Flow of Funds Accounts: From the Macro to the Financial; A. Nonfinancial Private Sector Net Worth: A Rational Gambit; 2. Was it Debtor Leverage?; B. Household Finances: Let the Good Times Roll; 3. Was it Households as Net Debtors?; C. Nonfinancial Business Finances: The Cash Cow; 4. Was it a Borrowing Spree by Firms?; D. Government Finances: Use that Firepower; 5. Was it Foreigners Buying U.S. Treasuries?
E. Foreign Investors in the U.S. Credit Markets: Pay to Play6. Was it Foreigners Buying Everything?; F. Gross and Net Credit Growth: Strong for Long; 7. Was it Credit Growth?; G. Financial Sector Size and ""Churning"" Activity: Inward We Look; 8. Was it Financial Sector Size?; H. Financial Sector Structure and ""Shadow Banking"": Brave New World; 9. Was it ""Shadow Banking""?; I. Private-Label Securitization: Bankruptcy-Remote Indeed; 10. Was it the Bundling?; J. The Secured Wholesale Funding Chain: In Collateral We Trust; 11. Was it the Funding Model?
III. Conclusion: Investment Banks as the Fulcrum12. In Summary; References.
Summary: This paper questions the view that leverage should have forewarned us of the global financial crisis of 2007-09, pointing to several gearing indicators that were neither useful portents of the onset of the crisis nor of its ferocity. Instead it shows, first, that the use of ill-suited collateral in the secured funding operations of U.S.-based investment banks was the fatal link between the collapse of structured finance and the global malfunction of funding markets that turbocharged the downdraft; and, second, that this insight (and others) can be decrypted from the Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States.
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Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Jun. 25, 2012).

This paper questions the view that leverage should have forewarned us of the global financial crisis of 2007-09, pointing to several gearing indicators that were neither useful portents of the onset of the crisis nor of its ferocity. Instead it shows, first, that the use of ill-suited collateral in the secured funding operations of U.S.-based investment banks was the fatal link between the collapse of structured finance and the global malfunction of funding markets that turbocharged the downdraft; and, second, that this insight (and others) can be decrypted from the Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States.

Includes bibliographical references.

"Strategy, Policy, and Review Department."

"June 2012."

Cover; Contents; Glossary; Executive Summary; I. Introduction: Our Search for the Smoking Gun; Figures; 1. Leverage? What Leverage?; II. The Flow of Funds Accounts: From the Macro to the Financial; A. Nonfinancial Private Sector Net Worth: A Rational Gambit; 2. Was it Debtor Leverage?; B. Household Finances: Let the Good Times Roll; 3. Was it Households as Net Debtors?; C. Nonfinancial Business Finances: The Cash Cow; 4. Was it a Borrowing Spree by Firms?; D. Government Finances: Use that Firepower; 5. Was it Foreigners Buying U.S. Treasuries?

E. Foreign Investors in the U.S. Credit Markets: Pay to Play6. Was it Foreigners Buying Everything?; F. Gross and Net Credit Growth: Strong for Long; 7. Was it Credit Growth?; G. Financial Sector Size and ""Churning"" Activity: Inward We Look; 8. Was it Financial Sector Size?; H. Financial Sector Structure and ""Shadow Banking"": Brave New World; 9. Was it ""Shadow Banking""?; I. Private-Label Securitization: Bankruptcy-Remote Indeed; 10. Was it the Bundling?; J. The Secured Wholesale Funding Chain: In Collateral We Trust; 11. Was it the Funding Model?

III. Conclusion: Investment Banks as the Fulcrum12. In Summary; References.

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