TY - BOOK AU - Waltz,Edward TI - Quantitative intelligence analysis: applied analytic models, simulations and games T2 - Security and professional intelligence education series SN - 9781442235878 AV - JF1525.I6 W395 2014eb U1 - 327.1201 23 PY - 2014/// CY - Lanham, Maryland PB - Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc. KW - Intelligence service KW - Methodology KW - Quantitative research KW - Service des renseignements KW - Méthodologie KW - Recherche quantitative KW - POLITICAL SCIENCE KW - Government KW - International KW - bisacsh KW - International Relations KW - General KW - fast KW - Electronic books N1 - Includes bibliographical references and index; The intelligence analyst and synthesis -- Modeling in intelligence -- Mental models in intelligence analysis -- Translating mental models to explicit sharable models -- Explicit models in structured and quantitative analysis -- Explicit models of analytic thinking -- Explicit models of the targets of analysis -- Analytic wargaming in intelligence -- Model-based support to collection and operations -- Implementing the discipline of explicit quantitative modeling and analytic gaming N2 - This book describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst's mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst's reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: methods of explicitly representing the analyst's mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst's mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; recommended curriculum for technical analysts. -- UR - https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=885891 ER -