TY  - BOOK
AU  - Khandelwal,Padamja
AU  - Roitman,Agustin
ED  - International Monetary Fund.
TI  - The economics of political transitions: implications for the Arab Spring 
T2  - IMF working paper
SN  - 9781475580181
AV  - HG3881.5.I58 
U1  - 330.956 23
PY  - 2013///
CY  - [Washington, D.C.]
PB  - International Monetary Fund
KW  - Economic development
KW  - Middle East
KW  - Equilibrium (Economics)
KW  - BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
KW  - Economics
KW  - General
KW  - bisacsh
KW  - Reference
KW  - fast
KW  - Economic history
KW  - Politics and government
KW  - Economic conditions
KW  - Moyen-Orient
KW  - Conditions économiques
KW  - Politique et gouvernement
KW  - Electronic books
N1  - Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Mar. 20, 2013); "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf; "March 2013"--Page 2 of pdf; Includes bibliographical references (page 11); Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A.Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B.Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C.Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D.External Balances and International Reserves; E.Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis; 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix
N2  - "Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump"--Abstract
UR  - https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=565005
ER  -