How do leaders make decisions? : evidence from the East and West, Part A / edited by Alex Mintz, Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Print version record.

Front Cover; How Do Leaders Make Decisions? Evidence From The East and West, Part A; Copyright; Contents; About the Editors; List of Contributors; Foreword; Acknowledgement; Introduction: How Do Leaders Make Decisions? An Applied Decision Analysis Account; The Rational Actor Model; Bounded Rationality and the Cognitive School; Elimination-by-Aspects (EBA) Decision Rule; Lexicographic (LEX) Decision Rule; Integrating the Rational and Cognitive Models: Poliheuristic Theory; Applied Decision Analysis; Summary of Articles; Notes; Bibliography; The Decision Calculus of Donald Trump; Dimensions

Analysis: Withdrawal from TPPAlternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: Re-negotiating NAFTA (23/01/2017); Alternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: The Attack on Al Shayrat Airport, Syria (06/04/2017); Alternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: Approach toward NATO (17/05/2017); Alternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process (15/02/2017); Alternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: Relocating the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem (01/06/2017); Alternatives Considered; Analysis; Analysis: The Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement (01/06/2017)

Alternatives ConsideredAnalysis; Conclusions; Bibliography; Barack Obama's Foreign Policy Decision Calculus; Introduction; Research Question; The Importance of this Research; Obama -- Personal Background; Research Method; Hypothesis; Decision Dimensions; Decision #1: US Policy Regarding Afghanistan in 2009; Alternative #1 -- Immediate Retreat of the Troops; Alternative #2 -- Focusing on Rebuilding Afghanistan and Retreating in 6 Months; Alternative #3 -- Significantly Increasing the Forces and Eliminating the Taliban Regime

Alternative #4 -- Increasing the Forces Significantly and Declaring a Date of RetreatAnalyzing the Decision Code; After the Decision; Decision #2: Intervening in The Libyan Civil War; Alternative #1 -- Continuing to Impose Economic Sanctions Only; Alternative #2 -- Limited Military Intervention as Part of an International Coalition; Alternative #3 -- Independent Limited Military Intervention; Alternative #4 -- Initiating an Extensive Military Operation against Libya; Analyzing the Decision Code; Decision Outcomes; Decision #3 -- The Civil War in Syria

Alternative #1 -- Humanitarian Military InterventionAlternative #2 -- Providing Logistical Support to the Rebels; Alternative #3 -- Setting a "red line" on the Use of Chemical Weapons; Alternative #4 -- Diplomatic Condemnation; Analyzing the Decision Code; After the Decision; Decision #4 -- Response to Syria Crossing the "red line"; Alternative #1 -- Coercive Diplomacy; Alternative #2 -- Immediate Airstrike and Diplomatic Action; Alternative #3 -- Defeating Assad's Army; Analyzing the Decision Code; After the Decision; Decision #5 -- Signing the Joint Plan of Action with Iran

Alternative #1 -- Continuing to Put Economic Pressure and Setting an Ultimatum

Understanding how leaders make foreign policy and national security decisions is of paramount importance for the policy community and academia. This book explores how leaders such as Trump, Obama, Netanyahu and others make decisions using the Applied Decision Analysis (ADA) method.

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