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System Priors for Econometric Time Series / by Michal Andrle and Miroslav Plašil.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: IMF working paper ; WP/16/231.Publication details: [Place of publication not identified] : International Monetary Fund, 2016.Description: 1 online resource (8 pages)Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • computer
Carrier type:
  • online resource
ISBN:
  • 1475555911
  • 9781475555912
  • 1475555822
  • 9781475555820
Subject(s): Genre/Form: Additional physical formats: No titleDDC classification:
  • 330.015195 23
LOC classification:
  • HB139
Online resources:
Contents:
Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. System Priors; III. Example -- System Priors for an AR(2) Process; IV. Conclusion; V. Appendix: Pseudo Code for the Posterior Kernel; PSEUDO CODE:; FIGURES; 1. Parameter regions for different priors; 2. Model properties for admissible regions.
Abstract: The paper introduces "system priors", their use in Bayesian analysis of econometric time series, and provides a simple and illustrative application. System priors were devised by Andrle and Benes (2013) as a tool to incorporate prior knowledge into an economic model. Unlike priors about individual parameters, system priors offer a simple and efficient way of formulating well-defined and economically-meaningful priors about high-level model properties. The generality of system priors are illustrated using an AR(2) process with a prior that most of its dynamics comes from business-cycle frequencies
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Includes bibliographical references.

Online resource; title from PDF file page (EBSCO, viewed August 26, 2019).

Cover; CONTENTS; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. System Priors; III. Example -- System Priors for an AR(2) Process; IV. Conclusion; V. Appendix: Pseudo Code for the Posterior Kernel; PSEUDO CODE:; FIGURES; 1. Parameter regions for different priors; 2. Model properties for admissible regions.

The paper introduces "system priors", their use in Bayesian analysis of econometric time series, and provides a simple and illustrative application. System priors were devised by Andrle and Benes (2013) as a tool to incorporate prior knowledge into an economic model. Unlike priors about individual parameters, system priors offer a simple and efficient way of formulating well-defined and economically-meaningful priors about high-level model properties. The generality of system priors are illustrated using an AR(2) process with a prior that most of its dynamics comes from business-cycle frequencies

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