Mexico.

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Cover; Contents; THE IMPACT OF MEXICO'S ENERGY REFORM ON HYDROCARBONS PRODUCTION; A. Current Challenges in the Energy Industry; B. Most Significant Reform Effort in 75 Years; C. Impact on Energy Production; D. Resource Blessed; E. How Long Does it Take?; F. Production Scenarios; FIGURES; 1. Illustrative Baseline Scenarios; 2. Illustrative Downside Scenarios; G. How Much Investment and FDI?; H. Natural Gas Imports and Transport; I. Electricity Reform; J. Conclusion; References; MADE IN MEXICO: THE ENERGY REFORM AND MANUFACTURING OUTPUT; A. Introduction.

B. The Mexican Manufacturing Sector Since NAFTAC. The Energy Reform: How Much of a Boost for Mexican Manufacturing?; D. Are There Additional Indirect Effects Through Spillovers?; E. Concluding Remarks and Policy Implications; References; TABLES; 1. Energy Consumption (in Petajoules) of the Industrial Sector; 2. Estimates of Elasticities of Manufacturing Output to Energy Prices; 3. Estimates of Elasticities When Energy Inputs Enter Separately; 4. Differential Effects Across Subsectors; APPENDIX; I. Panel VAR model; APPENDIX FIGURES.

1. Impulse Response Functions to a Rise in Electricity Prices with Subsector Spillovers2. Impulse Response Functions to a Rise in Electricity Prices with Regional Spillovers; CAPITAL FLOW VOLATILITY AND INVESTOR BEHAVIOUR IN MEXICO; A. Introduction; B. Recent Episodes of Extreme Capital Movements in Mexico; FIGURES; 1. Mexico: Extreme Capital Flow Episodes; C. Behavior of Foreign and Domestic Mutual Funds in Mexico; 2. Evidence of Herding (net sellers as a percent of total funds); 3. Evidence of Herding (based on the herding index).

D. Does Foreign Participation Amplify External Shock? A Time-Series Analysis of Mexican Sovereign Bond MarketE. Concluding Remarks; BOXES; 1. OLS and Multivariate GARCH Models; 2. Data on Foreign Mutual Funds; TABLES; 1a. Bond Funds: Evidence of Positive Feedback Trading Behavior; 1b. Equity Funds: Evidence of Positive Feedback Trading Behavior; 2a. Robustness Check (1)-Using a Longer Sample for Foreign Mutual Funds; 2b. Robustness Check (2)-Using Dollar-Denominated Return on the 3-month Government Bonds; 3a. OLS Regression Results (VIX Shock); 3b. OLS Regression Results (U.S. Tapering Shock).

4a. Multivariate GARCH Results (VIX Shock)4b. Multivariate GARCH Results (U.S. Tapering Shock); References.

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