Quantitative intelligence analysis : applied analytic models, simulations and games /
Waltz, Edward,
Quantitative intelligence analysis : applied analytic models, simulations and games / Edward Waltz. - 1 online resource - Security and professional intelligence education series . - Security and professional intelligence education series. .
Includes bibliographical references and index.
The intelligence analyst and synthesis -- Modeling in intelligence -- Mental models in intelligence analysis -- Translating mental models to explicit sharable models -- Explicit models in structured and quantitative analysis -- Explicit models of analytic thinking -- Explicit models of the targets of analysis -- Analytic wargaming in intelligence -- Model-based support to collection and operations -- Implementing the discipline of explicit quantitative modeling and analytic gaming.
This book describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst's mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst's reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: methods of explicitly representing the analyst's mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst's mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; recommended curriculum for technical analysts. --
9781442235878 (electronic bk.) 144223587X (electronic bk.)
48767E62-DBF8-4784-BF2A-2FBC396B0B64 OverDrive, Inc. http://www.overdrive.com
Intelligence service--Methodology.
Quantitative research.
Service des renseignements--Méthodologie.
Recherche quantitative.
POLITICAL SCIENCE--Government--International.
POLITICAL SCIENCE--International Relations--General.
Quantitative research.
Electronic books.
JF1525.I6 / W395 2014eb
327.1201
Quantitative intelligence analysis : applied analytic models, simulations and games / Edward Waltz. - 1 online resource - Security and professional intelligence education series . - Security and professional intelligence education series. .
Includes bibliographical references and index.
The intelligence analyst and synthesis -- Modeling in intelligence -- Mental models in intelligence analysis -- Translating mental models to explicit sharable models -- Explicit models in structured and quantitative analysis -- Explicit models of analytic thinking -- Explicit models of the targets of analysis -- Analytic wargaming in intelligence -- Model-based support to collection and operations -- Implementing the discipline of explicit quantitative modeling and analytic gaming.
This book describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst's mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst's reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: methods of explicitly representing the analyst's mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst's mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; recommended curriculum for technical analysts. --
9781442235878 (electronic bk.) 144223587X (electronic bk.)
48767E62-DBF8-4784-BF2A-2FBC396B0B64 OverDrive, Inc. http://www.overdrive.com
Intelligence service--Methodology.
Quantitative research.
Service des renseignements--Méthodologie.
Recherche quantitative.
POLITICAL SCIENCE--Government--International.
POLITICAL SCIENCE--International Relations--General.
Quantitative research.
Electronic books.
JF1525.I6 / W395 2014eb
327.1201